有三张卡，其中两张银卡，一张黄金卡，放在三张门后提供给竞猜者来猜，在竞猜者三选一后，主持人在翻开剩下两张中没有被选中的一张银卡，问竞猜者是否重新选择猜卡。因此，该节目存在两种不同猜法，即保持原来选择不变，或者在主持人翻开一张银卡后，重新选择。请利用蒙特卡洛仿真方法验证湖南经视台猜“黄金卡”节目两种不同方法的优劣。-There are three cards, two of which Silver, a gold card on the door three were provided to the quiz to guess, those three elections in the quiz, the moderator opened the remaining two have not been selected in of a Silver, and asked whether re-select the quiz guess cards. Therefore, the program guess there are two different methods, namely, to maintain unchanged the original choice, or open a Silver in the host after the re-selection. Please use the Monte Carlo simulation method to verify the Hunan Economic TV Station guess " gold card"　program pros and cons of two different methods.